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2009 College Football Bowls: Rose Bowl Preview PDF Print E-mail
Written by Erik Lord   
Friday, 01 January 2010 10:25

Why you should watch: 

It's the Rose Bowl. The oldest bowl game. The “Grandaddy” of them all. And the game pits the Pac-10 champion against the Big 10 champion in a battle for conference superiority.

When Ohio State has the ball: 

The Buckeyes have not been an eye-popping team on the offensive side of the football in 2009. Junior QB Terrelle Pryor is considered by many to be the most athletic player on the team and he has certainly been the most valuable player. Pryor leads the team in rushing (707 yards, 7 TD) as well as passing, but has thrown for just 152 yards per game and has struggled with his passing efficiency (55.6% completions, 16 TD, 10 INT). The Oregon defense will certainly focus on containing Pryor, so it will be important for another star to emerge for the Buckeyes offense. Look for junior RB Brandon Saine, who was a potent weapon the last three weeks of the season, to take some of the pressure off of Pryor. The Buckeyes leading receiver is sophomore DeVier Posey, who has 52 receptions for 727 yards and 7 TD. The Ducks don't have the best defense in the nation, but they have been able to put pressure on the quarterback. Their 32 sacks rank 17th in the nation and Oregon is 21st in pass efficiency defense (16 TD, 13 INT). While Pryor is a very mobile quarterback, he will have to keep an eye on LB Kenny Rowe who leads the Ducks in sacks (8.5) and tackles for loss (11).

Ohio State

(10-2)

vs.

Oregon

(10-2)

Rank

Per Game

 

Per Game

Rank

19th

198.9

Rushing Offense

236.1

6th

106th

165.9

Passing Offense

188.6

92nd

48th

29.3

Scoring Offense

37.7

7th

5th

83.4

Rushing Defense

126.7

38th

17th

179.1

Passing Defense

202.8

38th

5th

12.2

Scoring Defense

23.6

50th

48th

1.7

Sacks Allowed

1.0

12th

31st

2.4

Sacks

2.7

17th

56th

40.7 %

3rd Down Conversions

36.3 %

85th

13th

31.6 %

Opponent 3rd Down Conversions

36.3 %

37th

4th

+ 1.33

Turnover Margin

+ 0.25

47th

91st

76.7 %

Red Zone Scoring

94.3 %

6th

When Oregon has the ball: 

 

First year head coach Chip Kelly was promoted from offensive coordinator, so it's no surprise that the Oregon offense has not missed a beat. In fact, this may be the best Ducks offense yet. Led by junior QB Jeremiah Masoli (2066 yards, 15 TD, 5 INT, 659 rushing yards, 12 rushing TD), the Ducks roll out the nation's 7th highest scoring offense averaging nearly 38 points per game. Despite the loss of RB LaGarrette Blount for most of the season, freshman LaMichael James stepped in and quickly became one of the most productive backs in the nation (1476 yards, 14 TD). Blount returned to the field in the Ducks final regular season game against Oregon State, so expect both backs to contribute in this game. The explosive running attack of Oregon will be tested against Ohio State's defense. The Buckeyes boast one of the strongest run defenses in the nation. Opponents are averaging just 2.66 yards per carry and have scored just six rushing touchdowns all year. The Buckeyes are loaded with future NFL talent on their defense but pay attention to junior LB Ross Homan, who leads the team in tackles (96) and has 4 interceptions (including 3 in the last 4 games).

Intangibles: 

This is the fifth consecutive year Ohio State has earned a spot in a BCS bowl game, but the Buckeyes have just one victory in those games (2005 Fiesta Bowl win over Notre Dame). It would be grossly understating to say there is a desire to redeem their team reputation, as well as the nation's perception of the Big Ten as a weaker major conference. On the other side of the field, Oregon is in the Rose Bowl for the first time since 1995 after unseating USC for the Pac-10 crown for the first time in seven years. There is hunger for a win on both sides of the football, so it will come down to which team wants it more.

What will happen: 

The Buckeyes struggle to slow down the Oregon offense, with all of their speed and misdirection. LaMichael James has a solid performance, and LaGarrette Blount is able to pick up the short yards in key downs. Terrelle Pryor plays well, but doesn't give the Buckeyes offense enough “star power” to keep pace with the high-octane Ducks.

My pick:  Oregon

 
Discuss (4 posts)
2009 College Football Bowls: Rose Bowl Preview
Jan 02 2010 03:22:33
Pryor jumped into his "big boy shoes" for this one and grew up a ton late in the game. Given that both Penn State and Ohio State pulled out big bowl wins, how do you see the image of the Big Ten and Pac-10 respectively changing? I would think it would have to gain a little swagger back. If Iowa can pull out a win over GT, that would be three big wins in major bowls. If not, it's still 2 out of 3 and "two out of three ain't bad".
#31
Re:2009 College Football Bowls: Rose Bowl Preview
Jan 02 2010 03:40:03
Stix,

I'll give you that two out of three ain't bad. I'm not ready to put on my Big Ten sweat suit just yet, but I will say that Ohio State has my vote for a preseason Top 5 pick for 2010. The way the Buckeyes' offensive line simply manhandled the Ducks was completely unexpected. Pryor had enough time in the pocket to knit himself a sweater and some.

I'm wondering about the Pac-10 right now. After Oregon State, Cal, Oregon, and Stanford have all been blown up, where does that leave the conference? Not to mention, USC didn't look great in their game against Boston College. If there's anything we can learn from this bowl season, it's that the spread offense generally can put plenty of points on the board, but it's defense that wins games/championships.
#32
Re:2009 College Football Bowls: Rose Bowl Preview
Jan 02 2010 04:02:30
I couldn't agree more about defenses winning games/championships. With all of the hoopla about the spread offense the last few years, I've often wondered aloud just how good the defenses are that they're facing. Truly good defenses can shut down just about any offense.

I'm a little surprised at the Pac-10 as well. In all honesty, I was a little bit pleased to see USC falter. It's good to get a little mix-up at the top of the pile. It's not looking so good now that they're all getting beat on in bowl games, though. I've got to think that the west coast is going to be dealing with a lot of the same criticism the Big Ten has faced of late.

Come on, Mark. Put on the Big Ten sweat suit. You know you want to...
#33
Re:2009 College Football Bowls: Rose Bowl Preview
Jan 02 2010 15:15:22
Stix,

I have to agree with you that those two wins by Ohio State and Penn State are going to give the Big Ten a boost in the national perception of the conference. And deservedly so. The nation should realize that the talent level in the Big Ten hasn't declined. It's just that the talent level in the Big 12 and SEC has increased in recent years. The defenses I've seen coming out of the Big Ten are just as physical and fast as any in the country...and, like you said, defenses win championships.

As far as the Pac-10 goes, I really believe this has been a down year for the conference. The talent is certainly there (USC probably has more NFL prospects than any team in the Big Ten, and Oregon, UCLA, and Cal are loaded as well), but it seems the coaches aren't developing these players as well as they could. I would say the exception is Stanford, where Jim Harbaugh has taken The Cardinal from doormat to contender. But Cal, Oregon, and Oregon State did not show up for their bowl games...very winnable bowl games...and lost. Some credit must be given to Utah, Ohio State, and BYU for their preparation for these games. But there seems to be a spirit of entitlement in the Pac-10, that all they need to do is show up and they'll win. Obviously the rest of the country isn't going to hand the Pac-10 anything; they're going to have to earn it. And, right now, they're not earning anything.

On that note, credit must be given to the Mountain West Conference, who is now 4-0 in bowl games. Wyoming beat a more talented Fresno State team, Air Force played unbelievable defense to take down a very good Houston team, and Utah and BYU defeated very skilled Pac-10 opponents. If TCU can outplay Boise State, the conference will be 5-0 in their bowl games. And that adds just another notch in the belt of a conference that is on the rise.
#34

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