| MAC Football Preview - Week 12 |
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| Written by Mark Noe | |||
| Wednesday, 18 November 2009 13:33 | |||
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Game of the WeekKent State @ Temple 2:00pm, 21 November, ESPN360.comThe Tale of the Tape: How does Kent State measure up? Don't judge a book by its cover. At least that's what our grade school teachers always told us. Well, the same thing can be said in football, "Don't judge a team by their record." Sure 9 times out of 10 you'll be right and it won't be a problem, but there is still that one time you'll have to worry about. Kent State may be 5-5 overall but their offense continues to relentlessly churn out yardage. Even with the loss of running backs Eugene Jarvis and Alan Vanderink, the Golden Flashes have averaged over 420 yards in total offense in the past 3 games. Sure their rushing average has dropped about 30 yards, but it hasn't slowed the offense as much as many would expect.
The Owls is one of only two teams in the MAC that favors a run heavy offense. With the exception of Northern Illionis who runs a completely one dimensional rushing attack, Temple really is the only team which believes in controlling the clock on the ground but still keeping defenses honest through the air. In the most recent three games, Kent State has outgained Temple in total yardage by over 60 yards, yet the Owls average 17 points per game more on offense than the Golden Flashes. It doesn't seem to make sense until you look at the turnover margins. Temple has a +6 turnover margin overall, while Kent State rocks a -3 margin. Most games can come down to just two simple statisitics... 3rd Conversions and Turnover margin. Temple wins both hands down. When the Dust Settles.... In this game it will come down to who can limit their turnovers and I don't think they make corrective lens for color-blindness. Spencer Keith will add 2 more interceptions to his totals as Temple walks away with this one by atleast two touchdowns. Prediction: Temple 35 - Kent State 21Upset AlertBuffalo @ Miami (OH) 8:00pm, 18 November, ESPNUOh Buffalo... you were so good last season. I'm sure most FBS Athletic Directors are looking at Turner Gill's Bulls and thanking their lucky stars they didn't sign him into their coaching vacancy. I'm usually the first to jump on a coach for the absolute collapse of a team during the off season, but this isn't the case with Buffalo. Sure a year ago they were the MAC Champions, but how can you expect any coach to overcome the massive number of injuries the Bulls have sustained in one season. With James Starks going out for the season right away and just about every other running back on the roster spending time injured, I'd say the Bulls have fared well this season. Unfortunately, I don't think the Bulls have the right personnel healthy to keep up with Miami (OH). The Redhawks have a strong passing game, but have suffered from a complete lack in defense. Fortunately for Miami (OH), the Bulls have struggled to generate offense at critical times and will likely struggle again tonight. Prediction: Miami (OH) 28 - Buffalo 24
The UndercardsCentral Michigan @ Ball State 8:00pm, 18 November, ESPN2The Chippewas will blow away the Cardinals for one very simple and enormous reason. CMU has Dan LeFevour a seasoned veteran and BSU has backup quarterback Tanner Justice who will be temping the rest of the season for injured Kelly Page. Q.E.D. Prediction: Central Michigan 42 - Ball State 17Bowling Green @ Akron 5:30pm, 20 November, ESPNU Operating on their 3rd string quarterback, Akron stands no chance in this game. Especially with a gun slinger like Tyler Sheehan throwing the ball for the falcons. Prediction: Bowling Green 31 - Akron 13
Eastern Michigan @ Toledo 7:00pm, 20 NovemberYes Toledo should win this game, but not before Eastern Michigan continues to show that the Rockets have to spend some time rebuilding their defense in the off season. Prediction: Toledo 45 - Eastern Michigan 35Northern Illinois @ Ohio 2:00pm, 21 NovemberI can't believe that NIU is only favored by 1 point in this game. Sure the Bobcats have played well this season, but the Huskies' offense generates points like it's their job. Wait a second... I think it is their job. Prediction: Northern Illinois 28 - Ohio 17
DaJuane Collins, RB, ToledoHe may only have 773 yards on the season and 10 TDs, but Eastern Michigan has the worst run defense in the conference. Expect Toledo to mix it up a bit on defense to take some of the burden off QB Aaron Opelt. Collins should have at least 125 yards on the ground as long as he gets 15-20 touches.Stat of the Week18.47This is the average punt return by Central Michigan which ranks them #1 in the country. The Chippewas have also returned 2 for touchdowns.
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